"Earth system models are critical to predicting where, how and when this carbon will be released, but modeling teams currently don't have the resources they need to depict permafrost accurately. If we ...

Earth system models (ESMs) have evolved into comprehensive simulators of the coupled atmosphere, ocean, land surface and cryosphere, integrating physical, chemical and biological processes. Rigorous ...

High resolution Earth system modeling is increasingly critical for improving model performance and reducing uncertainties. By resolving fine scale processes and interactions across Earth system ...

Climate change is already reshaping global weather patterns and ecosystems around the world. In the long-term, its consequences could range from further substantial increases in the number of extreme ...

Understanding how water moves through the Earth system is fundamental to predicting climate impacts and ensuring sustainable water management. Yet despite decades of research, uncertainties persist ...

The term 'Digital Twin of the Earth' creates the idea of the availability of a highly accurate virtual copy of our planet, enabling researchers to predict the most complex future climate developments ...

A simulation of the planet from the DOE Energy Exascale Earth System Model, one of the large-scale models incorporated in the Earth System Grid Federation led by DOE’s Oak Ridge, Argonne and Lawrence ...

Accurately predicting the weather is hard — really hard, but a new AI-powered forecast model just hit a milestone that has experts saying your forecast could soon get more accurate, and further out, ...

Fifty years into the project of modeling Earth’s future climate, we still don’t really know what’s coming. Some places are warming with more ferocity than expected. Extreme events are taking ...

A snapshot of simulated climate conditions. Blue/red shading: sea surface temperature deviations from zonal mean; gray/white shading: low clouds; green/pink shading: 10m wind speed; blue/yellow ...

Have you ever stopped to wonder how forecasters can predict the weather days in advance, or how scientists figure out how the climate might evolve under different policies? All of this plays out on ...